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2024-12-31

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% - โœ—
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.0 โœ— (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 4.6% 95.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 20.1% 79.9% - โœ—

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -4 (83-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keyshawn Hall 36 9-13 4-4 0-0 8 2 0 1 4 22 16 +5.5
Darius Johnson 35 7-10 2-3 8-10 3 4 1 0 3 24 19 +8.1
Jordan Ivy-Curry 31 1-7 0-4 7-7 0 0 0 0 1 9 1 +2.6
Dallan Coleman 31 2-4 1-2 2-2 7 1 1 0 2 7 10 +12.3
Benny Williams 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 2 +7.2
Moustapha Thiam 17 4-6 2-3 0-1 3 1 0 1 1 10 8 -9.3
Jaylin Sellers 14 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 3 -3.4
Rokas Jocius 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 +1.2
JJ Taylor 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.2
Mikey Williams 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 +5.0

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chance McMillian 36 4-11 1-4 3-3 2 0 2 0 1 12 4 +1.3
Kevin Overton 33 3-8 2-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 9 2 +0.4
Dar. Williams 28 5-16 0-3 1-1 5 3 2 1 2 11 4 -4.2
JT Toppin 28 11-19 0-2 4-8 10 2 0 4 2 26 21 -2.0
Elijah Hawkins 24 3-8 0-2 5-5 4 3 2 0 1 11 11 +1.5
Christian Anderson 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 2 5 -
Federiko Federiko 21 6-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 12 8 -3.8
Kerwin Walton 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.2

* = starter