Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.3% | 14.7% | -9.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lipsey | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +10.9 |
| K. Gilbert | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +13.9 |
| C. Jones | 29 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +16.1 |
| J. Jefferson | 28 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +6.8 |
| M. Momcilovic | 27 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +8.3 |
| B. Chatfield | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | +2.6 |
| N. Heise | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.7 |
| D. Jackson | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +5.1 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hammond III | 34 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | -10.9 |
| RJ Smith | 33 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -19.2 |
| E. Malone | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -1.9 |
| T. Baskin | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +0.8 |
| J. Ruffin | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | -3.4 |
| A. Diop | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | -0.0 |
| B. Dak | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -8.5 |
| S. Rancik | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3.0 |
| H. Carrington | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.3 |
| F. Kossaras | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter