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2024-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 64.6% 35.4% -
Bradley-Terry 70.0% 30.0% -
Margin 85.3% 14.7% -9.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% -
Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% -
Log Adjusted 89.6% 10.4% -
Points Off/Def 70.3% 29.7% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lipsey 32 4-10 1-4 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 10 4 +10.9
K. Gilbert 31 6-10 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 14 7 +13.9
C. Jones 29 5-16 2-7 8-8 3 0 1 0 1 20 7 +16.1
J. Jefferson 28 6-12 0-1 1-1 7 2 8 1 3 13 16 +6.8
M. Momcilovic 27 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 0 +8.3
B. Chatfield 20 3-4 0-0 3-7 7 0 0 2 0 9 14 +2.6
N. Heise 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -5.7
D. Jackson 16 3-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 8 9 +5.1

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hammond III 34 9-17 3-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 21 12 -10.9
RJ Smith 33 5-10 3-6 1-2 2 1 1 1 2 14 7 -19.2
E. Malone 23 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 3 0 2 6 4 -1.9
T. Baskin 23 3-6 0-0 2-3 4 4 1 0 1 8 10 +0.8
J. Ruffin 18 4-7 0-2 1-1 0 2 0 0 3 9 1 -3.4
A. Diop 18 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 4 1 -0.0
B. Dak 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 8 5 1 2 4 4 11 -8.5
S. Rancik 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 3 7 -3.0
H. Carrington 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.3
F. Kossaras 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.0

* = starter