Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 32 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Simas Lukosius | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Aziz Bandaogo | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -1.9 |
| D. Thomas | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Dillon Mitchell | 27 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | -6.3 |
| Jizzle James | 26 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -7.3 |
| Connor Hickman | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.8 |
| Arrinten Page | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Tyler Betsey | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.2 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David N'Guessan | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +6.5 |
| Coleman Hawkins | 36 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | +3.5 |
| Dug McDaniel | 33 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | +10.8 |
| Max Jones | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Brendan Hausen | 25 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | +9.3 |
| CJ Jones | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -11.4 |
| David Castillo | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Macaleab Rich | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.0 |
| Mobi Ikegwuruka | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
* = starter