Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primo Spears | 40 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Marcus Millender | 40 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | +2.8 |
| Damari Monsanto | 38 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | -2.1 |
| Tai'Reon Joseph | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +2.1 |
| David Hermes | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Baboucarr Njie | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Jonnivius Smith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +6.0 |
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Graves | 33 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18 | +10.9 |
| Kylan Blackmon | 30 | 9-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | +3.7 |
| Giancarlo Rosado | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +13.1 |
| Nika Metskhvarishvili | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Jaehshon Thomas | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -15.4 |
| Ben Bradford | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -4.6 |
| Robert Braswell | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +12.3 |
| Isaiah Folkes | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Rich Rolf | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -7.5 |
| Dean Reiber | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.0 |
| Aleks Szymczyk | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -5.7 |
* = starter