Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls +28 (81-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Felton | 32 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -26.8 |
| Jordan Riley | 29 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | -10.5 |
| C.J. Walker | 27 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -27.4 |
| Cam Hayes | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -30.2 |
| Jayshayne Woodard | 23 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -8.6 |
| Trevion LaBeaux | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -22.2 |
| Yann Farell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11.2 |
| Tybo Bailey | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Bencao Vungo | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Reid Cason | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Cyr Malonga | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niccolo Moretti | 33 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | +21.8 |
| Tre Carroll | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 24 | +21.8 |
| Baba Miller | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 21 | +24.8 |
| K. Evans Jr. | 28 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +23.1 |
| Kaleb Glenn | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +10.6 |
| KyKy Tandy | 23 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | +15.5 |
| Devin Vanterpool | 14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +13.9 |
| Matas Vokietaitis | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +15.5 |
| Jack Johnson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.0 |
* = starter