Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Graves | 37 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 10-11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 21 | +3.0 |
| Giancarlo Rosado | 37 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Nika Metskhvarishvili | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Isaiah Folkes | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Robert Braswell | 30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -11.5 |
| Kylan Blackmon | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +6.1 |
| Rich Rolf | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Jaehshon Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Dean Reiber | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ben Bradford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Felton | 38 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | +1.9 |
| Jordan Riley | 35 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | +4.4 |
| Cam Hayes | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Trevion LaBeaux | 29 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | -6.8 |
| Jayshayne Woodard | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 20 | -3.2 |
| C.J. Walker | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Yann Farell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.4 |
| Reid Cason | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tybo Bailey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter