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2025-02-12

Model Predictions

Model UTSA Roadrunners Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“

Actual: Wichita State Shockers +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raekwon Horton 38 7-12 0-1 2-2 10 1 2 1 2 16 16 -5.8
Damari Monsanto 34 4-9 3-8 0-0 7 1 2 1 1 11 12 -15.7
Marcus Millender 33 5-15 2-7 1-2 1 2 2 0 1 13 2 -4.6
Primo Spears 30 5-14 1-4 1-2 1 3 3 0 2 12 3 +3.8
Jonnivius Smith 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 4 1 4 10 +1.9
Tai'Reon Joseph 24 4-10 0-4 0-2 2 2 1 0 2 8 1 -8.4
David Hermes 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -7.6
Baboucarr Njie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.9

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xavier Bell 36 3-13 2-3 4-4 6 3 1 1 7 12 3 +3.2
Corey Washington 34 7-17 0-2 3-6 12 1 1 2 2 17 14 +14.4
Harlond Beverly 31 5-10 1-2 4-4 6 3 2 1 0 15 17 +10.2
Ronnie DeGray III 28 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 0 2 0 3 4 5 -1.0
AJ McGinnis 20 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 9 8 +11.6
Matej Bosnjak 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 2 4 -2.3
Quincy Ballard 14 1-1 0-0 3-6 6 0 1 2 0 5 13 +2.4
Bijan Cortes 10 2-3 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -2 -4.3
Zion Pipkin 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +7.7

* = starter