Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✗ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -1 (79-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley | 37 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 13-16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | -0.4 |
| C.J. Walker | 33 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 10-12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 25 | -2.3 |
| Cam Hayes | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +2.9 |
| RJ Felton | 26 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | -7.7 |
| Jayshayne Woodard | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | +6.9 |
| Yann Farell | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Trevion LaBeaux | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Reid Cason | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.9 |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raekwon Horton | 39 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Primo Spears | 37 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Marcus Millender | 31 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | +7.5 |
| Damari Monsanto | 30 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -13.3 |
| Baboucarr Njie | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +18.9 |
| Jonnivius Smith | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +6.4 |
| Tai'Reon Joseph | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -2.2 |
| David Hermes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8.5 |
* = starter