Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green -4 (50-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raekwon Horton | 40 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | +1.9 |
| Primo Spears | 39 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Marcus Millender | 38 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Damari Monsanto | 36 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Jonnivius Smith | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | +5.5 |
| David Hermes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Baboucarr Njie | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.6 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atin Wright | 40 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Brenen Lorient | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Jasper Floyd | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Moulaye Sissoko | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Grant Newell | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +0.6 |
| Rondel Walker | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3.8 |
| Johnathan Massie | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -2.3 |
| Latrell Jossell | 19 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -3.9 |
* = starter