Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -15 (57-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Floyd | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Moulaye Sissoko | 35 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | +5.3 |
| Atin Wright | 34 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +7.5 |
| Johnathan Massie | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +12.9 |
| Brenen Lorient | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | +14.5 |
| Grant Newell | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Latrell Jossell | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -11.0 |
| Matthew Stone | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raekwon Horton | 38 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Primo Spears | 37 | 1-14 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | +0.4 |
| Tai'Reon Joseph | 35 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | -10.8 |
| Marcus Millender | 30 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Jonnivius Smith | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.4 |
| David Hermes | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9.1 |
| Damari Monsanto | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Baboucarr Njie | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.5 |
* = starter