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2025-01-14

Model Predictions

Model UTSA Roadrunners Rice Owls Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 โœ— (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—

Actual: Rice Owls -6 (84-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raekwon Horton 39 5-9 3-5 7-8 8 5 2 0 0 20 26 +6.1
Primo Spears 39 8-20 2-7 8-8 0 5 0 1 1 26 11 +6.8
Marcus Millender 33 9-13 5-6 2-2 0 3 4 0 0 25 19 +6.4
Jonnivius Smith 24 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 6 7 +1.8
Baboucarr Njie 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 +7.0
Damari Monsanto 19 3-9 3-8 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 9 8 +9.7
Tai'Reon Joseph 15 1-7 0-5 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 -3 +3.2
David Hermes 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 +1.1
Nazar Mahmoud 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -6.0

Rice Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Broadnax 36 5-10 1-2 8-8 6 6 0 0 1 19 20 -6.3
Alem Huseinovic 29 3-9 2-7 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 12 6 -4.2
Denver Anglin 26 3-8 3-8 0-2 3 3 0 0 1 9 6 +7.6
Jacob Dar 23 3-7 2-5 3-5 6 0 0 2 2 11 10 +2.6
Andrew Akuchie 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 6 7 -11.5
Kellen Amos 20 2-3 0-0 3-5 2 5 1 0 7 7 5 -13.3
Jimmy Oladokun Jr. 16 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 3 5 +6.9
Caden Powell 16 4-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 0 0 11 13 -8.2
Emory Lanier 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 6 4 -4.9

* = starter