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North Texas Mean Green 69
@
East Carolina Pirates 60
2025-01-14

Model Predictions

Model North Texas Mean Green East Carolina Pirates Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Margin 72.4% 27.6% -5.3 ✓ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% - ✓
Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.0% 17.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.2% 38.8% - ✓

Actual: East Carolina Pirates -9 (60-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Atin Wright 34 6-15 6-11 4-4 6 0 0 0 0 22 13 +11.5
Moulaye Sissoko 32 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 2 10 9 +8.0
Brenen Lorient 30 6-8 0-0 6-8 3 1 0 0 1 18 13 -0.3
Jasper Floyd 27 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 3 2 0 2 1 2 +3.9
Rondel Walker 24 0-3 0-2 1-2 6 2 1 0 2 1 5 +1.9
Latrell Jossell 21 1-3 1-2 2-3 0 3 1 0 1 5 5 -2.2
Grant Newell 18 3-5 1-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 8 8 +9.2
Johnathan Massie 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 4 5 +13.9

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Walker 37 6-8 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 12 10 -11.3
RJ Felton 35 11-21 6-10 2-4 6 0 0 0 3 30 12 -9.1
Trevion LaBeaux 34 0-3 0-1 0-2 4 1 0 1 0 0 3 -8.0
Jordan Riley 30 2-6 0-1 2-4 3 4 3 0 4 6 6 +1.2
Cam Hayes 26 2-8 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 5 1 +0.9
Jayshayne Woodard 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 -12.4
Yann Farell 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -3.6
Cyr Malonga 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.0

* = starter