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2025-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Tulsa Golden Hurricane Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.4% 46.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“

Actual: Tulsa Golden Hurricane +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nik Graves 34 6-12 3-6 4-6 4 3 0 1 0 19 15 -5.5
Kylan Blackmon 33 6-13 3-9 3-4 1 0 1 0 2 18 5 -3.5
Robert Braswell 31 3-5 1-3 3-4 2 1 1 1 1 10 9 -9.7
Giancarlo Rosado 28 3-7 1-2 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 7 9 +9.5
Dean Reiber 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 5 +2.7
Jaehshon Thomas 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -11.8
Isaiah Folkes 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 4 7 -5.0
Ben Bradford 13 1-2 0-1 1-4 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 +1.8
Nika Metskhvarishvili 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.9
Rich Rolf 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.9
Aleks Szymczyk 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwon Odom 35 10-14 1-1 1-1 6 5 0 1 2 22 18 +5.9
Keaston Willis 34 3-9 3-8 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 11 6 +13.8
Ian Smikle 30 1-1 0-0 4-5 10 1 1 0 1 6 16 +3.6
Jesaiah McWright 25 2-4 0-1 0-1 2 3 1 0 0 4 6 +13.6
Tyshawn Archie 25 5-9 0-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 11 2 +5.5
Justin Amadi 23 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 2 6 -3.0
Jared Garcia 13 5-9 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 11 2 -6.1
Matthew Reed 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 +4.8
Jaye Nash 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -10.0

* = starter