Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwon Odom | 37 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | +9.2 |
| Keaston Willis | 32 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | -4.0 |
| Tyshawn Archie | 31 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +15.7 |
| Braeden Carrington | 30 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | +0.4 |
| Ian Smikle | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +5.6 |
| Jesaiah McWright | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -11.9 |
| Justin Amadi | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +9.3 |
| Matthew Reed | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Jaye Nash | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raekwon Horton | 40 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -5.5 |
| Primo Spears | 38 | 13-23 | 5-7 | 9-11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 25 | -5.8 |
| Damari Monsanto | 31 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -13.2 |
| Jonnivius Smith | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | +3.7 |
| Marcus Millender | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Tai'Reon Joseph | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -7.3 |
| David Hermes | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Nazar Mahmoud | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.2 |
* = starter