Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Atlantic Owls | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leland Walker | 37 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | +4.2 |
| K. Evans Jr. | 31 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +14.4 |
| Tre Carroll | 28 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | -0.9 |
| Baba Miller | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3.4 |
| KyKy Tandy | 23 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +18.4 |
| Kaleb Glenn | 21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Niccolo Moretti | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Matas Vokietaitis | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -5.8 |
| Devin Vanterpool | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Walker | 36 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 13 | -7.0 |
| Jordan Riley | 33 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +4.8 |
| Cam Hayes | 28 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +6.9 |
| RJ Felton | 28 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | -3.6 |
| Jayshayne Woodard | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Yann Farell | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -11.0 |
| Trevion LaBeaux | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Cyr Malonga | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Bencao Vungo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter