Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle U Redhawks | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | β (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | β |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moncrieffe * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 23 | - |
| John Christofilis * | 30 | 6-17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | +3.6 |
| Maleek Arington * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Brayden Maldonado * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +7.2 |
| Malek Gomma * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Paris Dawson | 19 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -4.0 |
| V. RajkoviΔ | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Vasja Pandza | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Houran Dan | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.1 |
| DaSean Stevens | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Will Heimbrodt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Hyder * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Isaac Jessup * | 33 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Owen Koonce * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Luka Tarlac * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Mac Riniker * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | -1.1 |
| Peter Bandelj | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -8.4 |
| Ethan Menzies | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -7.7 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kieran Elliott | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Logan McLaughlin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter