Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies -8 (70-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams * | 31 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 20 | +2.3 |
| H. Madden * | 30 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 21 | +6.8 |
| Leonardo Bettiol * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | +3.8 |
| Bradyn Hubbard * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Rich Smith * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +10.4 |
| Joseph Venzant | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +18.9 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.8 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +8.0 |
| Dontrez Williams | 9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Cade Hornecker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.7 |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.3 |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zawdie Jackson * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -10.0 |
| Dionte Bostick * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -10.0 |
| Peter Filipovity * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -7.5 |
| Jaden Harris * | 13 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Emmanuel Tshimanga * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Christian Cook | 29 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Robert Carpenter | 28 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Nate Tshimanga | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Gabe Pickens | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Carl Cherenfant | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Edward Nnamoko | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
* = starter