Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.3% | 28.7% | -5.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats -23 (56-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camryn Weston * | 31 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +22.3 |
| Jestin Porter * | 30 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | +10.9 |
| Justin Bufford * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +12.4 |
| Essam Mostafa * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +16.6 |
| Kamari Lands * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +9.6 |
| Jlynn Counter | 21 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +24.9 |
| Chris Loofe | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +12.6 |
| Torey Alston | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +10.8 |
| Jacob Johnson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Tre Green | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Christian Fussell | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isiah Lightsy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Jack Jubenville | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarred Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Madden * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -22.8 |
| Joseph Venzant * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -14.9 |
| Leonardo Bettiol * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -14.4 |
| Quion Williams * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -12.6 |
| Nasir DeGruy * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -18.2 |
| Rich Smith | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -6.0 |
| Dontrez Williams | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -14.4 |
| Cade Hornecker | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Christian Alston | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Colby Tanner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.9 |
* = starter