Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Jessup * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +4.4 |
| O. Koonce * | 31 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +5.9 |
| J. Hyder * | 30 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 5 | -6.9 |
| K. Elliott * | 25 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +5.5 |
| M. Riniker * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -1.9 |
| L. Tarlac | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | +0.7 |
| E. Menzies | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | +6.6 |
| P. Bandelj | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5.3 |
| G. Vasilic | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +2.2 |
| P. Bizimana | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams * | 37 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -1.0 |
| M. Thomas * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 | -5.3 |
| N. Newbury * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -2.8 |
| T. Riley IV * | 27 | 10-18 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 9 | +2.2 |
| J. Rivera-Torres | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +13.5 |
| C. Linguard Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ro. Beasley | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -12.4 |
| J. O'Donnell | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -13.5 |
| V. Abosi | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.0 |
* = starter