Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | San Diego Toreros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.7% | 11.3% | -11.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego Toreros -13 (55-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wur | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +8.3 |
| R. Harrison | 29 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +9.6 |
| J. Coles | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | +12.5 |
| M. Williams | 27 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +10.9 |
| T. Grant-Foster | 24 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +5.6 |
| C. Moore | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +0.7 |
| D. Brennan | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -0.7 |
| C. Shaw | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.5 |
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Trouet | 35 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | -8.4 |
| K. Bradley Jr. | 27 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 4 | -6.4 |
| J. Chammaa | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -9.2 |
| T. Duckett | 21 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -11.5 |
| B. Pierre | 21 | 1-13 | 0-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -4.0 |
| K. Clouet | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -8.2 |
| D. Dahlke | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +2.2 |
| S. Jamerson II | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1.2 |
| J. Gaffney | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.9 |
| D. Simon | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.7 |
| C. Brooks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| N. Beniwal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Webb | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter