Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Garrison Keeslar * | 33 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Trey Bonham * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -0.9 |
| Latif Diouf * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +5.5 |
| Sean Cusano * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +11.0 |
| Noah Melson | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +2.0 |
| Jack Kostel | 19 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Makai Richards | 18 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | -8.5 |
| Parker Robison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.6 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustas Marciulionis * | 40 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | +4.5 |
| Luke Barrett * | 38 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Paulius Murauskas * | 36 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 24 | +1.9 |
| Jordan Ross * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -13.6 |
| Mitchell Saxen * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Harry Wessels | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | +13.6 |
| Mikey Lewis | 18 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +12.7 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Cade Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Kevin Gad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Joshua Dent | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter