Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian May | 32 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Tejada | 30 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 | +6.1 |
| Dylan Williamson | 28 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +8.6 |
| Mekhi Lowery | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | -1.2 |
| Nendah Tarke | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +10.2 |
| Tomiwa Sulaiman | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.7 |
| Messiah Jones | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +7.3 |
| Caleb Embeya | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Abdou Samb | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.7 |
| Rahdir Hicks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett | 38 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +1.6 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 37 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | +0.1 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 36 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -6.6 |
| Jordan Ross | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -2.3 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Harry Wessels | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -8.8 |
| Mikey Lewis | 12 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Cade Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter