Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -9.5 |
| Alex Chaikin | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -9.5 |
| Caleb Williams | 24 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Luka Savicevic | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -14.2 |
| Andrew Phillips | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +8.5 |
| Justin Vander Baan | 20 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Ryan Pettit | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Chris Rubayo | 12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Joshua Wyche | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -11.2 |
| Malik Rasul | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -5.1 |
| Misha Bednostin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Austin | 29 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | +8.5 |
| Austin Rapp | 27 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | +8.5 |
| Kelson Gebbers | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +8.5 |
| Vincent Delano | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Vukasin Masic | 21 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +8.1 |
| Mikah Ballew | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +13.8 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Max Mackinnon | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Mezziah Oakman | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +10.0 |
| Bol Dengdit | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.0 |
| Todd Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter