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2025-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Log Adjusted 25.2% 74.8% -
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +9 (70-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Vieira 40 2-7 1-3 0-0 5 4 2 0 4 5 5 -0.9
G. Kneepkens 37 6-15 2-5 3-3 2 3 3 0 7 17 3 -1.8
M. Wilke 36 7-13 3-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 17 7 -1.4
M. Toure 26 3-8 0-1 0-1 7 3 2 1 3 6 8 -
R. Ross 23 4-7 1-3 3-5 7 3 0 1 1 12 15 +0.9
S. Crispe 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 +0.6
J. Johnson 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -2.2
B. Walker 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +0.5
G. Foster 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +0.1
K. Ray 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Fontleroy 39 6-11 3-5 2-2 10 2 5 2 2 17 23 +1.8
J. Walker 37 4-7 0-1 4-4 1 12 3 0 1 12 20 +1.8
Y. Felder 35 5-8 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 11 6 +1.7
S. Andrews 27 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 5 1 1 3 2 2 +1.9
A. Vonleh 22 9-12 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 2 19 9 +2.2
A. Matharu 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 3 2 -0.8
K. Abraham 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -0.7
K. Nelms 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 -0.1
W. Jennings 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

* = starter