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2024-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% - βœ“
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 βœ“ (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 11.1% 88.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% - βœ“

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +28 (85-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Burnett 37 5-11 1-4 4-6 1 2 0 0 1 15 6 -24.7
M. Stevenson 33 4-10 0-2 6-8 5 3 1 0 2 14 11 -26.1
J. Flippin 22 2-5 0-1 0-2 3 3 0 0 4 4 1 -9.2
E. Ross 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 4 1 -23.5
C. Newton 18 4-4 3-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 11 9 -6.1
K. Dozier 18 1-9 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 2 0 -22.3
P.J. Eason 17 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 2 3 -4.0
PJ Edwards 16 1-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 0 -12.1
L. Hutchinson 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 +7.8
E. Nnaji 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.9
S. Ray 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 0 2 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Odum 32 7-13 2-4 0-0 4 9 1 0 1 16 16 +23.8
S. Todorovic 27 7-15 5-9 3-3 7 1 1 1 1 22 16 +27.1
Z. Bethea 27 0-7 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 0 -2 +12.9
D. Butka 26 7-9 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 0 1 14 19 +30.3
B. Coulibaly 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 3 0 6 8 +22.8
D. DoΕΎic 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
J. Olvera 17 2-4 0-0 3-4 2 0 2 0 0 7 7 +4.0
T. Au-Duke 11 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 5 +1.5
A. Faure 8 3-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 7 5 -5.1
D. Mager 6 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -2 -1.2
A. Leiba 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 3 -1.0

* = starter