Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Harris | 36 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Carrington | 35 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 33 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Jones | 23 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| V. Burton | 19 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 14 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bickle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 37 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 29 | - |
| K. McBride | 32 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| C. Williams | 31 | 9-16 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| B. Carleton | 30 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Smith | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Zandalasini | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter