Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 40 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 38 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 34 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 31 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 40 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 36 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Williams | 28 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. Smith | 25 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter