Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +23 (84-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Dorsey * | 29 | 5-13 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -23.7 |
| Noah Collier * | 28 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 14 | -20.3 |
| Keller Boothby * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Malachi Ndur * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -12.5 |
| Chase Lowe * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Isaiah Mbeng | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | -14.2 |
| Matteus Case | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -16.5 |
| Kyle Pulliam | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Kyle Frazier | 15 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -19.1 |
| Finn Lally | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Miles Hicks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Kinkade | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +24.6 |
| Michael O'Connell * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +14.4 |
| Marcus Hill * | 28 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | +26.8 |
| D. Styles * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +11.1 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield * | 17 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 19 | +23.7 |
| Breon Pass | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +12.5 |
| Trey Parker | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.6 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. | 11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Bryce Heard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Jordan Snell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| KJ Keatts | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Paul Mcneil | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter