Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 37 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 36 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 35 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jackie Young | 31 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 27 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | 37 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 37 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 25 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter