Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller | 36 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | -13.2 |
| Matt Cross | 33 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -8.3 |
| Chuck Harris | 33 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | -8.8 |
| B.J. Edwards | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Kario Oquendo | 23 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Yohan Traore | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.0 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.7 |
| AJ George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Watkins | 36 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 21 | +15.8 |
| Malique Ewin | 35 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 19 | +12.0 |
| Justin Thomas | 31 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Chandler Jackson | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Jerry Deng | 17 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +12.5 |
| Bostyn Holt | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.1 |
| AJ Swinton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Alier Maluk | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Jason Simpson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Jesse Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter