Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rohde | 33 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4.0 |
| D. Ames | 33 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | -5.7 |
| Isaac McKneely | 32 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2 | -3.0 |
| Blake Buchanan | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -5.0 |
| Jacob Cofie | 23 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | -7.0 |
| Elijah Saunders | 17 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Anthony Robinson | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +4.3 |
| Taine Murray | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Ishan Sharma | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +2.1 |
| TJ Power | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Bryce Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jyare Davis | 34 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +8.7 |
| Jaquan Carlos | 34 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +7.5 |
| JJ Starling | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +6.6 |
| Lucas Taylor | 31 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Lampkin | 30 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 25 | +5.5 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Naheem McLeod | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Chris Bell | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Petar Majstorovic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Anthony Clayton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Chris Gatty | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Noah Lobdell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Nate Fleisher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
* = starter