Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jovan Blacksher Jr. | 32 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | -12.4 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson | 30 | 2-15 | 2-9 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | -12.9 |
| Rytis Petraitis | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -7.0 |
| Andrej Stojakovic | 27 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | -12.2 |
| Mady Sissoko | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -15.1 |
| DJ Campbell | 25 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | +3.8 |
| Lee Dort | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +6.7 |
| Spencer Mahoney | 10 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.6 |
| Christian Tucker | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Matt Desler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chucky Hepburn | 36 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 19 | +15.8 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 34 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | +9.7 |
| Terrence Edwards Jr. | 33 | 11-19 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 18 | +0.4 |
| James Scott | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | +11.8 |
| Khani Rooths | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +6.3 |
| Noah Waterman | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +16.7 |
| Aboubacar Traore | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | -6.5 |
| Reyne Smith | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.9 |
| Frank Anselem | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Aidan McCool | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Sherman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Legg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Antonelli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter