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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 51.5% 48.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% - โœ—
Margin 70.2% 29.8% -4.7 โœ— (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 77.6% 22.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 59.7% 40.3% - โœ—

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaland Lowe 40 6-16 1-4 7-8 7 7 2 0 2 20 18 -9.8
Zack Austin 39 1-5 0-1 4-4 6 1 1 1 1 6 9 -8.4
Cameron Corhen 32 5-9 0-0 3-7 4 0 1 1 4 13 6 -3.2
Guillermo Diaz Graham 27 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 3 5 -16.0
Ishmael Leggett 26 4-9 3-4 1-1 6 0 0 0 4 12 5 -4.8
A. Delalic 25 4-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 9 2 -
Brandin Cummings 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 +5.5

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael O'Connell 38 3-7 3-6 6-8 5 8 1 0 2 15 20 +9.8
D. Styles 36 6-13 1-5 0-0 13 1 1 1 2 13 14 +4.8
Ben Middlebrooks 28 2-4 1-1 6-7 2 1 3 1 1 11 13 +11.3
Breon Pass 27 5-12 4-9 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 14 9 +14.3
J. Taylor 26 1-6 1-5 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 5 1 +8.5
Marcus Hill 17 4-8 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 10 4 -0.1
B. Huntley-Hatfield 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 3 5 -2.6
Paul Mcneil 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Bryce Heard 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +3.1
Trey Parker 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter