Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Watkins | 34 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | -7.5 |
| Justin Thomas | 29 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -11.2 |
| Daquan Davis | 29 | 2-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -10.5 |
| T.B. Bowen | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -10.5 |
| Alier Maluk | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -11.2 |
| Christian Nitu | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jerry Deng | 14 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -2.7 |
| Bostyn Holt | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Chandler Jackson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| AJ Swinton | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.8 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rohde | 38 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | +10.3 |
| D. Ames | 38 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +12.4 |
| Isaac McKneely | 36 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +14.3 |
| Elijah Saunders | 32 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +13.2 |
| Blake Buchanan | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +12.7 |
| Jacob Cofie | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Taine Murray | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.2 |
| Anthony Robinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Ishan Sharma | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter