Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.8% | 10.2% | -12.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -32 (59-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Powell | 31 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +27.2 |
| Ian Jackson | 26 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +18.9 |
| RJ Davis | 25 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +20.6 |
| Elliot Cadeau | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | +9.9 |
| V. Lubin | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Seth Trimble | 21 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +30.4 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 19 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Jalen Washington | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +8.9 |
| Cade Tyson | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +2.3 |
| James Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.5 |
| Ty Claude | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Russell Hawkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| John Holbrook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Dante Mayo Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydon Young | 31 | 4-15 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -4 | -21.2 |
| Ben Burnham | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -17.6 |
| Tyler Johnson | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -20.7 |
| Ben Hammond | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -16.6 |
| Jaden Schutt | 25 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -16.6 |
| Patrick Wessler | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -10.1 |
| Mylyjael Poteat | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -15.0 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -9.2 |
| Connor Serven | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Rodney Brown Jr. | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Conner Venable | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Peter Carr | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter