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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Margin 2.9% 97.1% +19.2 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +19 (92-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Johnson 39 7-17 2-9 4-4 7 3 2 0 4 20 11 -6.5
M. Cleveland 34 12-21 1-3 0-1 5 5 1 2 1 25 16 -9.1
Austin Swartz 28 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 9 5 -2.3
Divine Ugochukwu 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 3 1 +8.5
A.J. Staton-McCray 22 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 7 5 -9.5
Paul Djobet 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 3 +4.6
Jalil Bethea 19 1-10 1-6 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 5 1 -9.3
Kiree Huie 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 4 2 -6.9

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Davis 33 4-12 3-6 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 13 7 +15.8
Jae'Lyn Withers 33 4-6 2-2 1-2 10 4 0 0 0 11 19 -1.1
V. Lubin 29 9-10 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 1 19 14 -
Elliot Cadeau 27 4-8 0-1 1-2 1 5 0 0 3 9 4 -3.1
Drake Powell 27 5-6 2-3 4-4 6 0 0 1 1 16 16 +13.5
Seth Trimble 23 2-3 2-3 4-6 4 3 1 0 2 10 13 +8.7
Ian Jackson 13 4-8 1-2 2-3 2 0 0 1 3 11 3 -4.0
Jalen Washington 11 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -7.1
Cade Tyson 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 +4.4

* = starter