Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (100-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Watkins | 33 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | -12.1 |
| T.B. Bowen | 26 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -19.3 |
| Jerry Deng | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -12.4 |
| Chandler Jackson | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Daquan Davis | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -16.3 |
| AJ Swinton | 16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Christian Nitu | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alier Maluk | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | +1.7 |
| Justin Thomas | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Bostyn Holt | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Jason Simpson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Jesse Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kon Knueppel | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | +24.5 |
| Isaiah Evans | 24 | 6-17 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 6 | +13.9 |
| Khaman Maluach | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 20 | +17.2 |
| Sion James | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +17.6 |
| Cooper Flagg | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | +8.3 |
| Mason Gillis | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +6.8 |
| Darren Harris | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -6.9 |
| Caleb Foster | 15 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +6.9 |
| Patrick Ngongba | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Cameron Sheffield | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Spencer Hubbard | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Stanley Borden | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Neal Begovich | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter