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2025-02-26

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“
Margin 39.5% 60.5% +2.4 โœ“ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“

Actual: Syracuse Orange +14 (74-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Styles 27 6-14 4-10 1-1 2 1 1 1 1 17 7 -9.6
Michael O'Connell 26 3-7 2-4 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 9 6 -8.0
J. Taylor 23 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Huntley-Hatfield 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 4 9 -5.7
Paul Mcneil 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Marcus Hill 19 3-9 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 8 1 -2.9
Ben Middlebrooks 18 3-7 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 6 2 -10.4
Breon Pass 17 1-7 0-5 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 6 3 -0.1
Trey Parker 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -4.1
Dennis Parker Jr. 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Ismael Diouf 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +0.4
Bryce Heard 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaquan Carlos 35 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 8 3 +13.0
Eddie Lampkin 34 5-7 0-0 4-7 15 2 0 0 0 14 24 +13.6
JJ Starling 33 6-12 1-3 4-7 4 4 1 0 2 17 12 +12.5
Jyare Davis 27 5-7 1-1 4-7 7 2 0 0 2 15 15 +11.6
Chris Bell 24 3-6 0-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 7 4 +0.9
Lucas Taylor 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
Petar Majstorovic 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 0 1 +0.9
Kyle Cuffe Jr. 11 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Naheem McLeod 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 4 4 -1.2

* = starter