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2025-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 91.0% 9.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 76.3% 23.7% - โœ“
Margin 90.9% 9.1% -12.7 โœ“ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 67.0% 33.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.5% 6.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 75.2% 24.8% - โœ“

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chucky Hepburn 37 5-12 1-3 4-4 2 6 2 0 6 15 7 +10.7
Terrence Edwards Jr. 35 5-14 2-6 1-1 4 3 1 0 3 13 4 +0.4
J'Vonne Hadley 34 5-10 1-2 0-0 8 2 2 0 2 11 11 +1.6
Reyne Smith 32 3-11 1-9 2-2 0 1 2 0 1 9 0 +1.6
James Scott 29 6-7 0-0 1-3 6 2 0 1 0 13 15 +2.2
Noah Waterman 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -4.4
Aboubacar Traore 11 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 0 0 5 7 -7.5
Khani Rooths 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4.1

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Johnson 32 4-7 1-2 3-4 4 0 2 0 2 12 9 +2.8
Ben Burnham 28 5-11 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 13 8 -3.6
Brandon Rechsteiner 27 6-10 4-7 2-2 5 4 1 0 4 18 14 +0.7
Jaydon Young 25 4-12 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 11 1 +2.9
Patrick Wessler 24 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 8 9 +0.0
Jaden Schutt 22 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -1.8
Tobi Lawal 22 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 1 4 2 1 +10.5
Ben Hammond 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 2 -1 +0.3
Connor Serven 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -4.1

* = starter