Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.7% | 90.3% | +12.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +8 (89-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Watkins | 36 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +7.9 |
| Malique Ewin | 28 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | +0.1 |
| T.B. Bowen | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Chandler Jackson | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Daquan Davis | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Justin Thomas | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.5 |
| AJ Swinton | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7.1 |
| Alier Maluk | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Bostyn Holt | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Jerry Deng | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1.9 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Vonne Hadley | 38 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | -0.1 |
| Chucky Hepburn | 36 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 17-19 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 21 | +7.5 |
| Reyne Smith | 33 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +2.8 |
| James Scott | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +15.3 |
| Terrence Edwards Jr. | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Aboubacar Traore | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Khani Rooths | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Noah Waterman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
* = starter