Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +24 (97-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael O'Connell | 35 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -7.8 |
| J. Taylor | 32 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | -7.6 |
| D. Styles | 29 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | -7.6 |
| Ben Middlebrooks | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.6 |
| Marcus Hill | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Trey Parker | 15 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -7.4 |
| Paul Mcneil | 14 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Dennis Parker Jr. | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Heard | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Ismael Diouf | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Breon Pass | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis | 30 | 6-18 | 1-8 | 8-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +6.0 |
| Drake Powell | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +6.1 |
| Seth Trimble | 26 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +10.2 |
| Elliot Cadeau | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | +6.1 |
| Ian Jackson | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +7.9 |
| V. Lubin | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Jalen Washington | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +10.3 |
| Cade Tyson | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| James Brown | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dante Mayo Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Russell Hawkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| John Holbrook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter