Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -6 (82-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis | 38 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | -4.7 |
| Ian Jackson | 29 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 13 | -7.1 |
| Seth Trimble | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -4.8 |
| Drake Powell | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 24 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 18 | -2.3 |
| Jalen Washington | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -3.5 |
| V. Lubin | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Elliot Cadeau | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | -4.4 |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Lampkin | 34 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 20 | -2.9 |
| Jaquan Carlos | 33 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +7.6 |
| JJ Starling | 29 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +7.7 |
| Lucas Taylor | 26 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Petar Majstorovic | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Chris Bell | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Jyare Davis | 15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Elijah Moore | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 7 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Naheem McLeod | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +7.3 |
* = starter