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2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donald Hand Jr. 35 6-17 3-7 7-8 6 0 0 0 3 22 8 -7.0
Chas Kelley III 29 4-6 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 10 8 +3.0
Chad Venning 26 5-10 0-1 4-4 8 0 1 1 2 14 12 -5.0
Fred Payne 25 1-6 1-3 6-6 8 1 2 0 0 9 14 -
Dion Brown 24 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -6.0
Elijah Strong 20 1-4 1-2 0-3 4 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
Roger McFarlane 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 6 -7.0
Jayden Hastings 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 0 4 -1.0
Luka Toews 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.0
Joshua Beadle 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -3 -8.0

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor 37 6-16 2-8 5-6 3 1 4 1 1 19 11 +6.0
Marcus Hill 31 3-9 0-3 2-4 6 0 1 0 0 8 6 +10.0
Michael O'Connell 28 1-5 1-2 3-5 4 6 2 0 0 6 13 +5.0
Ben Middlebrooks 28 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 1 0 6 11 -4.0
Dennis Parker Jr. 21 3-7 0-3 1-4 5 2 0 1 2 7 6 -
D. Styles 18 1-6 0-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 0 +9.0
Breon Pass 14 2-4 1-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 6 3 -6.0
B. Huntley-Hatfield 12 3-5 0-0 5-5 1 0 1 0 0 11 8 +2.0
Trey Parker 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 4 +8.0
Paul Mcneil 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter