Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (78-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilkinson | 35 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | -0.5 |
| J. Blacksher Jr. | 31 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3.6 |
| A. Stojakovic | 30 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +3.3 |
| R. Petraitis | 28 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | -4.1 |
| M. Sissoko | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -4.1 |
| DJ Campbell | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.9 |
| L. Dort | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| J. Ola-Joseph | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -0.7 |
| C. Tucker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Mahoney | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.1 |
| J. McCloskey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Karapetian | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Desler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Flagg | 29 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 22 | +4.8 |
| T. Proctor | 29 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +8.4 |
| K. Knueppel | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +5.7 |
| S. James | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | +4.4 |
| K. Maluach | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +9.2 |
| I. Evans | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +0.5 |
| M. Gillis | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.0 |
| M. Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.9 |
| C. Foster | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -3.8 |
| P. Ngongba II | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.0 |
| D. Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
* = starter