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2025-02-10

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 โœ“ (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“

Actual: Clemson Tigers +20 (85-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Davis 33 8-14 2-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 18 7 -18.8
Elliot Cadeau 31 5-10 1-3 0-2 1 6 0 0 6 11 2 -3.8
Seth Trimble 30 5-11 0-2 2-3 4 1 3 1 1 12 9 -13.0
Drake Powell 26 2-6 0-3 0-2 3 3 1 1 0 4 6 -16.0
V. Lubin 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
Jae'Lyn Withers 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -6.6
Ian Jackson 16 0-8 0-3 3-4 2 0 2 1 1 3 -1 -7.1
Jalen Washington 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 4 -10.2
Ty Claude 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.2
Cade Tyson 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -3.7
James Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.0

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaeden Zackery 33 6-9 1-3 3-5 7 7 4 0 4 16 21 +25.1
Dillon Hunter 32 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 6 9 +12.7
Ian Schieffelin 31 2-6 0-1 1-1 10 3 1 0 0 5 13 +22.7
Chase Hunter 29 7-13 4-8 1-2 1 2 1 2 3 19 9 +14.2
Viktor Lakhin 25 9-16 4-5 0-0 6 0 1 5 2 22 16 +15.8
Jake Heidbreder 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 2 +16.0
Chauncey Wiggins 16 3-5 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 9 8 +11.5
Myles Foster 5 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -1.7
Del Jones 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.3
Asa Thomas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.8
Christian Reeves 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jackson Roberts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8
Daniel Nauseef 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8
Andrew Latiff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8
Matt Kelly 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.8

* = starter