Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Austin | 37 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | +6.2 |
| Ishmael Leggett | 34 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +8.6 |
| Cameron Corhen | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Jaland Lowe | 32 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | -8.9 |
| Damian Dunn | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 22 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Brandin Cummings | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +8.1 |
| Jorge Diaz Graham | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis | 38 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Seth Trimble | 35 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -6.1 |
| Drake Powell | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -2.3 |
| Elliot Cadeau | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | +0.9 |
| V. Lubin | 22 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Ian Jackson | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.4 |
| Jalen Washington | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.7 |
| Cade Tyson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| James Brown | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
* = starter