Model Predictions
| Model | Stanford Cardinal | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +24 (85-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oziyah Sellers | 33 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | -12.7 |
| M. Raynaud | 30 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 11 | -28.0 |
| C. Grant | 25 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -18.9 |
| E. Stinson | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Javoy Thompson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -11.2 |
| R. Agarwal | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -11.7 |
| B. Gealer | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -5.5 |
| A. Batson Jr. | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -12.1 |
| A. Cammann | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -3.7 |
| T. Toure | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1.6 |
| C. Okpara | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
| C. Kastner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.2 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +20.4 |
| Chuck Harris | 29 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +14.2 |
| B.J. Edwards | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +18.5 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 28 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +30.2 |
| Matt Cross | 27 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +6.0 |
| Kario Oquendo | 23 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | +29.7 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +13.4 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -5.8 |
| AJ George | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.4 |
| Tibet Gorener | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.4 |
| Jackson Young | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Trey Utter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter