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2025-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 71.6% 28.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.4% 26.6% - โœ“
Margin 61.3% 38.7% -2.5 โœ“ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.8% 28.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaac McKneely 38 9-17 6-12 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 26 15 +1.6
Taine Murray 36 8-12 4-6 0-0 1 7 0 1 1 20 16 +5.4
Blake Buchanan 33 6-8 0-0 4-6 9 2 0 1 0 16 20 +3.1
D. Ames 26 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 5 3 -0.0
Jacob Cofie 25 2-4 0-0 5-6 7 2 1 0 0 9 15 +2.6
Ishan Sharma 19 0-2 0-2 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 +2.6
TJ Power 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -6.8
Anthony Robinson 11 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 1 1 2 4 -0.5

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Cleveland 37 10-17 0-4 7-8 4 2 0 1 2 27 15 -1.0
Brandon Johnson 34 4-8 2-4 3-4 7 2 2 1 1 13 16 -2.3
Divine Ugochukwu 27 1-3 0-1 4-6 2 4 1 0 2 6 8 -1.8
Paul Djobet 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -4.2
L. Kidd 20 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 7 5 +4.5
A.J. Staton-McCray 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 5 4 +0.1
Austin Swartz 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -5.3
Jalil Bethea 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 0 +5.0
Kiree Huie 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Blackmon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter