Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.1 | ✓ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill | 33 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +16.6 |
| J. Taylor | 33 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +12.0 |
| D. Styles | 24 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +21.7 |
| M. O'Connell | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +2.8 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3.3 |
| B. Middlebrooks | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +4.4 |
| T. Parker | 19 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +4.6 |
| D. Parker Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. McNeil | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Pass | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Heard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Flagg | 37 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 11-13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 22 | -8.5 |
| K. Knueppel | 35 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | -8.4 |
| S. James | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -6.6 |
| T. Proctor | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -5.5 |
| K. Maluach | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -12.3 |
| M. Gillis | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.6 |
| P. Ngongba II | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +5.5 |
| C. Foster | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.5 |
| I. Evans | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter