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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.4 โœ“ (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (102-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donald Hand Jr. 43 8-17 5-8 5-6 6 3 1 0 2 26 17 -
Dion Brown 36 8-11 4-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 20 15 +22.8
Joshua Beadle 32 6-6 2-2 0-0 5 6 0 1 2 14 18 +5.9
Fred Payne 30 2-8 2-5 2-2 0 2 2 0 1 8 3 -
Chad Venning 30 7-12 0-0 3-6 1 3 1 2 1 17 11 +9.2
Roger McFarlane 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 2 +3.6
Jayden Hastings 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 8 6 -3.7
Chas Kelley III 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 3 1 -5.9
Luka Toews 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -2.8

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Trimble 43 5-13 1-4 7-8 12 2 0 0 1 18 18 -0.1
RJ Davis 39 6-11 2-5 8-8 5 5 1 0 0 22 22 +1.8
Elliot Cadeau 38 4-6 0-0 5-8 3 4 1 1 4 13 12 -3.6
Drake Powell 27 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 4 +6.2
Ian Jackson 27 8-13 2-3 1-3 0 1 1 0 0 19 8 -6.9
Jalen Washington 26 7-10 0-0 4-4 6 3 0 0 1 18 16 -8.4
V. Lubin 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 3 4 -
Ty Claude 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -0.1
Jae'Lyn Withers 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -3.6
Cade Tyson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.6

* = starter